Archive for the “US Stock” Category

The Coca-Cola Company logo

founded: 1886, NYSE code: KO, homepage: www.thecoca-colacompany.com

Overview
As the producer of the most widely drank soft drink on the planet, The Coca-Cola Company hardly needs any introductions. It’s famous syrup, made following a secret formula dating all the way back to late 19th century, serves the bottlers around the World as the most vital ingredient in production of their best selling range of soft drinks.

In 2006, the major part of Coca-Cola’s profit came from its “domestic” North American markets (29.1%), followed by North Asia with Middle East (16.5%) and European Union markets (14.6%). A significant 21.2% portion of earnings was derived from the company’s bottling investments.

Analysis of December 2006 financial results:

  • Market Cap: Depending on the daily prices of the company’s stock the total market capitalization is around US$140 billion over 2.35 billion of issued shares
  • Shareholders Equity: US$16.9 billion making the stock’s book value approx. US$7.20 per share (5.35% growth on FY 2005)
  • Earnings per share: US$2.16 making the average EPS growth in last 4 years about 16.2%
  • Return on Equity: 30%, averaging around 29.4%pa in last 5 years
  • Balance Sheet: Working capital of US$2.6 billion (ie. US$1.10 per share) versus long term debt of US$1.3 billion


The Coca-Cola Company EPS 1998-2006

Sharemaket’s valuation:
Average KO’s Price to Earnings ratio of 25.5 suggests the share price around US$55.1 (US$2.16 EPS x 25.5 P/E)

GROWTH STOCK:

  • Conservative forecast of average EPS growth in next 10 years: 7%
  • Share price in 10 years time: about US$108 (EPS in year 10 based on forecasted yearly EPS growth times average P/E)
  • Total shareholders return in 10 years times: US$124 (share price of US$108 plus US$16 of the 10 years worth of dividends if the current payout ratio of about 50% persists)
  • Rate of Return in next 10 years based on the beginning of December 2007 price of US$63.75 per share: 6.9%pa

Pros and cons:
+++ Virtually unchallengeable market leader within its industry
+++ Excellent balance sheet (ie. entire debt could be easily paid off using about half of currently held cash)
+++ Consistently achieving very high ROE levels year after year
+++ Tirelessly increasing shareholders’ value by regular stock buybacks of its own stock
— Sheer size of the company’s operations may prove to be a hurdle for continuous earnings growth in the future

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